Point Estimators and Confidence Intervals Under Sequential Sampling Strategies with Applications

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2024-01-01

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Statistical inference is the process of making informed decisions about a larger population by analyzing a smaller group of data collected with some form of sampling. In many statistical inference problems, where some prescribed accuracy is desired, the required sample size often depends on unknown population parameters and thus remains unknown. Then, it is necessary to conduct a sequential sampling procedure, where an experimenter takes one observation at a time successively until a predefined stopping rule is satisfied. This thesis involves sequential sampling procedures dealing with three statistical inference problems. These are (i) bounded variance point estimation (BVPE) of a function of the scale parameter in a gamma distribution with known shape parameter; (ii) fixed-width confidence interval (FWCI) estimation for comparing two independent Bernoulli proportions; and (iii) fixed-accuracy confidence interval (FACI) estimation for the shape parameter of a Weibull distribution based on record data. In the first research problem, given a gamma population with known shape parameter α, we develop a general theory for estimating a function g(·) of the scale parameter β with bounded variance. We begin by defining a sequential sampling procedure with g(·) satisfying some desired condition in proposing the stopping rule, and show the procedure enjoys appealing asymptotic properties. After these general conditions, we substitute g(·) with specific functions including the gamma mean, the gamma variance, the gamma rate parameter, and a gamma survival probability as four possible illustrations. For each illustration, Monte Carlo simulations are carried out to justify the remarkable performance of our proposed sequential sampling procedure. This is further substantiated with a real data study on the weights of newborn babies. In the second research problem, we are interested in the proportions of a common characteristic possessed by two independent dichotomous populations, denoted by P1 and P2. We propose sequential sampling procedures for constructing FWCIs to compare the magnitude of P1 and P2 based on the log transformation and the logit transformation, respectively, which are followed by Monte Carlo simulations. We then implement these sequential sampling procedures to solve a real-world problem of mobile games A/B testing. In the third research problem, we focus on utilizing the record data to estimate the shape parameter of a two-parameter Weibull population, which is widely used in lifetime data analysis. A sequential sampling procedure is developed for constructing a FACI for the Weibull shape parameter β, no matter whether the scale parameter α is known or unknown.

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